More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS | Embed Welcome to the latest episode of Hot Takedown, FiveThirtyEight’s sports podcast. On this week’s episode (Aug. 1, 2017), we celebrate the publication of Kate Fagan’s latest book, “What Made Maddy Run.” FiveThirtyEight senior editor Chadwick Matlin and Kate discuss the story of Madison Holleran, a University of Pennsylvania track star whose death by suicide sparked a conversation about the difficulties of transitioning to college life, mental illness and the impact of social media. Next, we’re joined by FiveThirtyEight’s Rob Arthur, who helps us make sense of the MLB trade deadline by breaking down how the deals made by this year’s top teams might affect the playoffs. Plus, a significant digit on the Chicago Cubs.Here are links to what we discussed on this week’s show:An excerpt from “What Made Maddy Run” can be found here.ESPN looked at the trade deadline’s biggest winners and losers, declaring that the Dodgers and Yankees stocked up while the Orioles missed out.Ahead of Monday’s MLB trade deadline, Rob wrote that trades aren’t just for the deadline anymore.Rob also notes that as a result of this year’s trades, baseball’s richest just got much richer.Significant Digit: 14, the number of years between the infamous Steve Bartman incident during the 2003 National League Championship Series and the Cubs’ decision to present a 2016 World Series ring to Bartman. The Cubs said that “while no gesture can fully lift the public burden he has endured for more than a decade, we felt it was important Steve knows he has been and continues to be fully embraced by this organization.” Embed Code FiveThirtyEight
In the roughly seven decades since the NHL started handing out the Art Ross trophy to the league’s top scorer, only three recipients have spent at least some of an award-winning season as a teenager. Two of those players are on the short list of all-time best: Wayne Gretzky and Sidney Crosby. The other? This season’s winner: Connor McDavid of the Edmonton Oilers.McDavid was impressive as a rookie last season, but 2016-17 was when he announced his official superstardom to the world. In addition to leading the NHL in points, he was the league’s best at generating quality scoring chances. And although McDavid has been held to 2 points in the Oilers’ four first-round playoff games against the San Jose Sharks, the series is tied, and McDavid is driving possession the way he did during the regular season. Plus, he’ll probably be honored as the most valuable player in the game regardless of how his postseason goes.McDavid’s rise to the top of the NHL is hardly unexpected — as a child in Newmarket, Ontario, he was already being compared to Gretzky and Crosby. Comparisons with legends bring loads of pressure and expectations, and assuming that an 18-year-old who’s only played against other teenagers will turn into an all-time great is almost always silly.1*Cough, Alexandre Daigle, cough* But even the most optimistic hockey fan might be astonished by how valid McDavid has made those analogies look, and how quickly he’s done so.To say a great deal of hype surrounded McDavid as a youngster would be an understatement. In 2012, Hockey Canada waived its normal eligibility rules — which dictate that players can’t suit up at the major junior level until they’re 16-years-old — and allowed McDavid to enter the Ontario Hockey League draft at age 15. It wasn’t long before McDavid was torching the best junior-level competition in the world: In his three OHL seasons, he scored 285 points, or 1.7 per game. By the time his junior career was over, McDavid had won the most individual silverware in the history of the OHL.In his first two NHL seasons — the first of which was cut short because of an upper body injury that gave the entire city of Edmonton a brief, but acute, panic attack — McDavid scored 148 points over just 127 games.How does that compare with the legendary company McDavid is often mentioned in? Crosby’s scoring rate through his first 127 games was a bit higher than McDavid’s — he tallied 181 points — but there are also a few factors at play that put McDavid at a disadvantage in terms of raw numbers. After adjusting for those, McDavid ends up looking very similar to Sid the Kid.For one thing, Crosby’s first two seasons (2005-06 and 2006-07) were also the two highest-scoring NHL campaigns since the 2004-05 lockout. During those two seasons, teams averaged 9 percent more goals per game than in the two years since McDavid entered the league. 2007 might not seem like very long ago, but the game has changed. And part of the scoring gulf between then and now can be explained by a huge disparity in power play opportunities: In 2005-06, teams played with the man advantage a whopping 5.85 times per game on average. This season, that number was 2.99. (Theories abound as to why.)That matters for scoring: In his first two seasons, Crosby scored 108 of his 222 points (49 percent) on the power play. By comparison, McDavid has scored just 41 of his 148 points (28 percent) on the power play. If Crosby took advantage of whistle-happy referees, McDavid hasn’t had that luxury. Taking into account shorthanded stats as well, McDavid has scored 71 percent of his points at even strength. Crosby, by comparison, scored just 50 percent of the points in his first two seasons while playing at even strength. Because the vast majority of the game is played at even strength, points scored when teams are playing at five on five are arguably more valuable than contributions on special teams.Crosby also benefited from inferior goaltending during his first couple of seasons, relative to what McDavid has faced. According to save percentage — a good benchmark for goaltending performance — netminders were 11 points worse across the league during Crosby’s first two years than they have been during McDavid’s. From 2005-06 to 2006-07, the league’s average save percentage was .903; from 2015-16 to 2016-17, it’s .914.Add it all up, and after adjusting for the league’s scoring environment, Crosby’s 33-point lead in the raw stats gets cut roughly in half: Crosby had 179 adjusted points in his first 127 games; McDavid had 164.2Hockey-Reference.com’s system of adjusting statistics takes a player’s raw numbers and normalizes them to a league where six goals and 10 assists are recorded per game.As for Gretzky … well, he notched an insane 240 points per 127 games in his first two seasons,3Hockey-Reference.com doesn’t have individual game logs dating back as far as the early 1980s, so we’ll have to base the comparison on Gretzky’s points per game in his first two seasons. although it’s worth noting that Gretzky built his case as the undisputed GOAT in an NHL that barely resembles today’s league. McDavid could be the second coming of the Great One, and he’d never have a chance to touch Gretzky’s raw production. But if we run the same adjusted scoring formula as above for Gretzky’s first two seasons, he produced 190 adjusted points per 127 games in his first pair of NHL seasons — 26 more than McDavid and 11 more than Crosby. (This just in: Gretzky was amazing.)So McDavid may be running a bit behind the Great One, but he’s pretty close to Crosby’s level. None of this is to say McDavid is guaranteed to match what Crosby has accomplished; Sid the Kid is probably still the best player in the world (at least according to that Gretzky guy) and is one of the best players to ever take the ice. But when you consider that McDavid is performing roughly as well as Crosby was at the same stage of his career, you get the sense that we’re all lucky to witness his ascent.Of course, while McDavid has asserted himself as one the game’s most prolific scorers, that doesn’t mean Edmonton fans should expect immediate returns in the form of a Stanley Cup. Gretzky himself didn’t lead the Oilers to a championship until his fifth NHL season (those early-1980s New York Islanders teams were notoriously tough to beat), and Crosby didn’t deliver a Cup to Pittsburgh until his fourth season. But with his Art Ross season, McDavid is already living up to the hype on an individual level, and the Oilers seem to have found the franchise cornerstone they’ve been looking for since Gretzky left town for sunny Los Angeles.So even if this season doesn’t end with a parade through Edmonton, the future looks exceedingly bright for the Oilers — and their boy wonder.
When the Purdue men’s basketball team learned in the preseason that senior forward Robbie Hummel would miss the entire season with a knee injury, there were doubts about the team’s ability to live up to its lofty expectations. Through 20 games, however, the Hummel-less Boilermakers have more than held their own. As it arrives in Columbus to play No. 1 Ohio State, No. 12 Purdue sits at 17-3 and 6-1 in Big Ten play. Led by senior forward JaJuan Johnson’s 20 points and eight rebounds per game, the Boilermakers are just one game behind the undefeated Buckeyes in the conference standings. Though it’s early, tonight’s game could have significant Big Ten regular-season title implications. Battle of the big men As good as Johnson has been for Purdue, freshman forward Jared Sullinger has been equally good for the Buckeyes. Though OSU coach Thad Matta said it will be a collective effort against Johnson on the defensive end, both Johnson and Sullinger figure to play a big role in their teams’ success tonight. “The alarming thing about JaJuan is he makes such difficult shots,” senior guard Jon Diebler said. “I mean, if you watch film and watch the games he’s played, there are times where he’s got a hand or two hands in his face and he’ll just turn around and shoot it in. He’s a great player.” If Sullinger’s performance in the Buckeyes’ first 20 games is any indication, however, this game’s importance won’t intimidate him. In OSU’s four games against ranked opponents, Sullinger has averaged nearly 20 points and 13 rebounds. Sullinger’s success results from meticulous preparation, Matta said. And though he wouldn’t give many details, Matta said Sullinger might have picked up something that will help tonight. “Jared is one of those guys who is very tuned in to scouting,” Matta said. “He asked a question (Monday) night that kind of blew my mind when he was listening to the film session.” But Matta didn’t divulge any secrets. “I can’t elaborate,” he said. “It’s double-secret information.” Familiar foes Much like the Buckeyes, Purdue plays several upperclassmen who have been with the program for at least three years. OSU senior forward David Lighty said playing against Johnson, as well as Purdue senior guard E’Twaun Moore and others for so many years has bred a sense of familiarity between the two teams. And with that familiarity, Lighty said, comes highly competitive basketball. “There have been close games since day one, since everyone’s been here and since I’ve been here playing against them,” Lighty said. “We expect the same thing (tonight).” Diebler said the teams should know what to expect. “We’re both very familiar with each other just from the past years with the guys who’ve returned and the guys that have been around,” Diebler said. “I think that’s all it comes down to is who’s going to be able to execute their system both offensively and defensively.” Another test for Craft Buckeye freshman point guard Aaron Craft has been developing a reputation for his defense all season. In two of OSU’s last three games, Craft has been matched up against two of the best point guards in the Big Ten and perhaps two of the best in the country. Though Illinois’ Demetri McCamey and Penn State’s Talor Battle are much more experienced than Craft, the two seniors struggled against the Buckeye freshman, going a combined 7 of 28 from the floor. Tonight, against the Boilermakers, Craft will have his hands full again. Moore, who averages 18 points per game, will be joined in the backcourt by junior guard Lewis Jackson, who is coming off a career-high 19 points in Saturday’s win against Michigan State. Though Matta referred to Jackson as one of Purdue’s several “X-factors,” he is confident in his own point guard. “He’s got great feet, and he’s really, really strong — probably stronger than most people think,” Matta said of Craft. “You couple that with his mind and he’s a guy that loves to watch film and really zero in on anybody that he could be guarding. … But probably third and the most important thing is he wants to play defense, and that’s something that I think is unique.” The Buckeyes’ and Boilermakers’ tipoff is scheduled for 9 p.m. tonight at the Schottenstein Center.
The lot containing the revealing letter sold for £2,400, more than double the £600-£900 estimate.As well as divulging details about the private life of the young family at Kensington Palace, the messages from the 1980s and 90s show how fond Diana was of Mr Dickman, who provided her with support after the death of her father in 1992.The six notes were part of a collection described as “the private letters between a trusted butler and the royal family”, which also included photos and Christmas cards. John Foster, of Cheffins auctioneers in Cambridge, said interest in the collection had been “phenomenal”, with inquiries coming from as far afield as Japan, Australia and Canada. A letter from 1984Credit:BNPS / Cheffins The letters are written on Kensington Palace headed paperCredit:Cheffins /AP In it she wrote: “Cyril, you will be greatly missed by this particular Lady – thank you from the bottom of my heart for being so kind to me throughout the years and take great care of yourself, fondest love from Diana x.”The six letters were part of a bigger collection which included other royal memorabilia. One handwritten letter from the Queen sold for £1,500 – considerably more than the £50-£100 estimate.In it, the Queen wrote: “Dear Cyril and Eva, I much appreciated your thoughts and sympathy on the death of my mother. We must all be thankful in the encouragement and pleasure she gave to so many during her long life. Elizabeth R.”A boxed piece of cake from the Queen’s wedding in 1947 sold for £550. An extract from one of the lettersCredit:BNPS / Cheffins In the letter to Cyril Dickman, Diana wrote: “William adores his little brother and spends the entire time swamping Harry with an endless supply of hugs and kisses, hardly letting the parents near!”The reaction to one tiny person’s birth has totally overwhelmed us and I can hardly breathe for the mass of flowers that are arriving here!”In October 1992 Diana wrote to Mr Dickman ahead of a trip to Asia with the Prince of Wales: “The boys are well and enjoying boarding school a lot, although Harry is constantly in trouble!” The Princess Diana letters sold for £15,000 Credit:Hugh Peralta /Reuters He told the BBC: “One of the nice things about this collection is that it reveals the personal side. It’s not just thanking someone for an event, it’s things like the handwriting and the squiggly drawings.”There is also mention of when Diana’s father passed away and how sad it was, talking of the children when they were at school, how much trouble they got into, just those personal touches which you never really get to hear about.”Among the letters was a note appearing to wish Mr Dickman well on his retirement in 1992. Letters sent by Diana, Princess of Wales, which revealed Prince Harry was “constantly in trouble” at school have sold for thousands more than was estimated.The six handwritten letters, sent to a favoured Buckingham Palace steward, sold for £15,100 at auction, exceeding the £2,300-£3,600 estimate.One lot, which included a letter where Diana described Prince William’s adoration for younger brother Harry, was sold for £3,200 – around five times more than its estimate of £400-£600. Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily Front Page newsletter and new audio briefings.
Britons are being urged to check their fivers after a rare £5 note discovered in a man’s change fetched more than £60,000 on eBay.The new polymer note – with one of the earliest serial numbers starting AA01, which is desirable to collectors – was sold on the internet auction site on Sunday morning.Seller Piotr Sobczuk, from Telford, Shropshire, listed the note on eBay after finding it in his change.He researched serial numbers before realising that his note, which featured the number AA01 444444, was potentially worth thousands of pounds.It has now been sold for more than 12,000 times its street value after attracting 136 bids from 21 different bidders. The note has been sold for more than 12,000 times its street valueCredit:Caters The note, with serial number AA01 000017, was the lowest number offered to the public.The lowest numbered note, AA01 000001, was given as a gift to the Queen. The eBay seller did not wish to comment. The seller is expected to post the valuable note by first class standard delivery, having listed postage for just 64p.The auction site will also take over £250 in fees, according to eBay’s fee calculator.At a Bank of England charity auction in October, one new fiver sold for £4,150. Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily Front Page newsletter and new audio briefings.
Former deputy chair of NHS Digital Sir Nick Partridge said that while there were systems in place to try and combat hacks, the value of personal data meant there was an increased risk. “Systems are there but there’s a growing understanding that patient records are now much more valuable on the dark web than credit card ratings,” he said. Patient records are at risk from hackers because they are now more valuable than credit card details, NHS bosses have revealed. “They sell for more money so we can only expect this level of cyber attack to increase in a very fragmented NHS and it’s going to be a growing challenge”. Sir Nick said that NHS Digital, the health service’s internal IT provider, had…
Emilyh Maitlis, who presents Newsnight but is also not on the list, retweeted this tweet.It appears something of a sisterhood of BBC presenters and journalists has emerged as Charlotte Smith, who presents BBC Radio 4’s Farming Today and BBC 1’s Countryfile, added to the backlash by saying she was happy to take one for the team and have her salary raised to be on the list along with the men. @janegarvey1 I’m happy to accept a pay rise to help the BBC out with its gender pay gap problem… #notonthelist— charlotte smith (@charlottebsmith) July 19, 2017 Big fan of the BBC but if you position yourself as the very bastion of equality.. you must practise what you preach. #bbcpay— Piers Morgan (@piersmorgan) July 19, 2017 She also said she wished her programme was on an hour earlier, as the salaries were not published until 11am.The BBC has admitted that two-thirds of its top earners are men, which shows a gap between the pay of male and female presenters and journalists.The popular presenter of Woman’s Hour sarcastically tweeted ahead of her show that the news of the pay gap shows things are “going well”.She tweeted: “I’m looking forward to presenting @BBCWomansHour today. We’ll be discussing #GenderPayGap . As we’ve done since 1946. Going well, isn’t it?” Jane Garvey, who presents Woman’s Hour, was not included in the list of the BBC’s top-paid presenters, journalists and actors. She began the backlash against the gender pay gap, which sees the highest-paid female star being paid a quarter of what the highest-paid male star makes, on Twitter early on Wednesday morning, before speaking on it on Woman’s Hour.Ms Garvey said: ” Radio 2…extraordinarily male and entirely pale and big salaries,” before hastily adding: “allegedly.”Jeremy Vine, who presents his show on Radio 2, is the fourth highest-paid BBC employee, on £700,000-£749,999.The top seven best-paid BBC employees are men, topped by Chris Evans who is on £2,200,000-£2,249,999. The highest-paid woman, Claudia Winkleman, is paid a fraction of this and is on £450,000-£499,999. Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily Front Page newsletter and new audio briefings. Of the 96 top names earning £150,000 or more, 62 are male and 34 are female.Releasing the BBC annual report, Lord Hall, the director-general, said: “At the moment, of the talent earning over £150,000, two-thirds are men and one-third are women.“Is that where we want to be? No.”The backlash from female presenters began last night with one well-known name saying the corporation is stuffed with “male ‘intellectual titans’ with egos the size of planets” who have demanded huge salaries and got them. On Good Morning Britain, he gestured to fellow presenters Susanna Reid and Charlotte Hawkins, and said women “dominate” at ITV. I’m looking forward to presenting @BBCWomansHour today. We’ll be discussing #GenderPayGap . As we’ve done since 1946. Going well, isn’t it? https://t.co/j2M6oQBqde— Jane Garvey (@janegarvey1) July 19, 2017 She tweeted: “I’m happy to accept a pay rise to help the BBC out with its gender pay gap problem.. #notonthelist”.Ms Garvey replied that this is a “lovely idea”.The presenter said on Woman’s Hour: “We have been covering the gender pay gap for 70 years.”It would be hypocritical in the extreme if Woman’s Hour didn’t speak on this today”. He also pointed out that the CEO of ITV is a woman. It was recently announced that the former boss of EasyJet, Carolyn McCall, is their new chief executive. The presenter said: “We are the BBC in reverse! We are a shining example of equality – the women dominate on ITV!”The BBC replied: “We look forward to seeing how ITV compares when all large employers have to report their gender pay gap next year.” ITV presenter Piers Morgan has said that “women dominate” the rival network and that the BBC should practice what it preaches when it comes to gender equality.
“He is there putting emotional pressure on his son to take the blame. He went on to say to Thomas ‘self-defence for you, you didn’t know what you were doing. Me, different ball game’.”Matthew Moseley was subsequently charged with murder and was remanded in custody at HMP Preston, the jury heard.In prison the defendant made a number of phone calls which were recorded, said the prosecutor.On February 2 in a phone call from prison the defendant was heard to say to his son: “They are going for life. You do realise that? They did explain that to you? I will never see you again. I will never, ever get out.”That’s what they are going for which means I will never see you again. Because they coerced you into changing your statement.”Moseley denies murder and the trial continues. “Indeed he was arrested and interviewed by police on suspicion of the murder of Lee Holt,before the truth came out.” A covert bug was placed in the vehicle, said Mr O’Sullivan, and it appeared that the defendant frequently reduced his voice to a whisper in conversation with his son.The prosecutor said: “He can be heard telling Thomas that he is a minor and cannot go to jail and if Matthew Moseley did not get out they would come for his mother and younger siblings. Matthew Moseley, who is accused of murdering Lee HoltCredit:NB Press Ltd The court heard Mr Holt, his partner Kate Phelan, her 14-year-old son Wesley Metcalfe and a friend of the teenager went in a taxi to to the Moseley family home.Thomas had been in dispute with Wesley since May 2016 and a row flared up on social media between the pair earlier on October 25 with a suggestion they meet for a fight, the jury was told.The messages were shown to Ms Phelan and Mr Holt, who had both been drinking at a funeral, and they sent messages themselves to Thomas.Mr O’Sullivan said Ms Phelan and Mr Holt had become “angry and agitated” before they set off for the Moseley home.Both were seen shouting outside the property and banging the outside windows when they arrived, he said.Thomas Moseley said he then saw his father bending down on one knee, taking a shotgun from a gun cabinet next to the porch and loading it with three cartridges.He asked his father what he was doing and he was told by his father to call the police, the court heard. Mr O’Sullivan said Thomas Moseley dialled 999 from a cordless phone and a sound was heard about 10 seconds into the call, which the prosecution suggested was the firing of the gun.He said: “It is inherently unlikely, is it not, that Thomas can put the receiver down, hand it to someone, pick up the gun and fire it on the doorstep in all that time.”The jury heard that Thomas Moseley brought the gun back inside the house after it was allegedly handed to him by his father, who then told him in the hallway: “Tell them you have done it because you can’t get done for it.”When police arrived, Thomas Moseley told them he had shot Mr Holt and he was arrested.On October 27 both father and son were taken to local magistrates in the back of a police van as detectives applied for further time to question them, the court heard. A father who shot dead a man on the doorstep on his home following a dispute between their children then tried to blame his 14-year-old son for the killing, a court has heard.Matthew Moseley, 50, allegedly “sought to manipulate” his son, Thomas, into saying he was responsible for the shooting in Oswaldtwistle, near Accrington, Lancashire.Preston Crown Court heard how the victim, Lee Holt, 32, had visited the address last October as part of an ongoing row between his partner’s son, also aged 14, and Thomas.The prosecution claims Moseley senior opened the front door and fired a Beretta semi-automatic shotgun once at Mr Holt, who later died in hospital from a single wound to the chest.The defendant then allegedly handed the weapon to his son who was inside the house and suggested he take responsibility for the killing.Opening the case, Robert O’Sullivan QC said: “The prosecution say from that point onwards Matthew Moseley has falsely blamed his son Thomas for the shooting.”It is the prosecution case that Matthew Moseley, from the outset, has sought to manipulate his son into accepting responsibility for the shooting and the death of Lee Holt.”Thomas initially did just that, out of what you may think was loyalty and love for his father. Lee Holt, who died in hospital from a single wound to the chestCredit:Lancashire Constabulary Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily Front Page newsletter and new audio briefings.
It comes after the Daily Telegraph revealed claims that the retail tycoon stands accused of “inappropriate” behaviour against several of his female employees, including groping, grabbing one woman by the face and putting another in a headlock. Sir Philip is also accused of telling a senior black employee that he was still “throwing spears in the jungle”, making fun of his dreadlock hair style and saying he smoked cannabis. Mark Stephens, the solicitor who represents Harvey Weinstein’s former PA Zelda Perkins, said: “Philip Green’s behaviours… Lawyers, MPs and campaigners have called for police to investigate the allegations of sexual harassment and racist abuse levelled against Sir Philip Green.